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    SINTRO Intelligence

    Macro Radar

    Quantitative market monitoring, read through the risk, momentum and mean-reversion factors of our US model. Signals follow preset thresholds - not headlines.

    Static

    Current Theme · AI-Generated

    Global Macro Overview

    News
    Global Markets & Macro - Breaking Headlines
    ReutersBrent Crude stabilizes near $102 after volatile week amid Hormuz disruptions2h ago|FTIEA announces coordinated 120M barrel strategic reserve release4h ago|BloombergIran retaliates with missile strikes on Gulf energy infrastructure6h ago|ReutersTanker insurance premiums surge 2,600% for Strait of Hormuz passage8h ago|CNBCS&P 500 enters correction territory as energy shock rattles markets10h ago|

    Market Overview

    S&P 500

    –

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    NASDAQ

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    VIX

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    Brent Crude

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    Gold

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    DXY

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    Price Action

    S&P 500

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    0.00%
    –0255075100

    NASDAQ

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    0.00%
    –0255075100

    Gold

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    0.00%
    –0255075100

    Oil Price - Brent vs WTI

    $/barrel · 40-day history

    607590105120
    • Brent
    • WTI

    Fear & Greed Index

    VIX-derived sentiment gauge

    18

    Extreme Fear

    Top Headlines

    Inflation & Rates

    Inflation Breakevens & CPI

    5Y & 10Y Breakeven Inflation vs CPI YoY (%)

    Sep '25Oct '25Nov '25Dec '25Jan '26Feb '26Mar '261.52.2533.754.5
    • 5Y Breakeven
    • 10Y Breakeven
    • CPI YoY

    US Treasury Yield Curve

    Current vs 6 months ago (%)

    1M3M6M1Y2Y5Y10Y30Y3.64.054.54.955.4
    • Current
    • 6 Months Ago

    Fed Rate Change Expectations (CME FedWatch)

    Market-implied probabilities for each FOMC meeting (%)

    Mar '26May '26Jun '26Jul '26Sep '26Dec '260255075100
    • Hike
    • Hold
    • Cut

    Global FX Rates

    Major Currency Pairs

    PairRateChange
    EUR/USD1.0420-0.18%
    GBP/USD1.2380-0.21%
    USD/JPY152.8000+0.14%
    USD/CHF0.9120+0.23%
    AUD/USD0.6280-0.32%

    FX Evolution (30D)

    EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY

    • EUR/USD
    • GBP/USD
    • USD/JPY

    Leading Economic Indicators

    PMI Manufacturing

    47.2

    Prev: 49.8▼

    PMI Services

    49.1

    Prev: 51.2▼

    Consumer Confidence

    88.5

    Prev: 95.2▼

    Initial Jobless Claims

    245K

    Prev: 218⚠

    Building Permits

    1.32M

    Prev: 1.45▼

    LEI (Conf. Board)

    -0.8%

    Prev: -0.3▼

    ISM New Orders

    46.8

    Prev: 50.1▼

    Avg Weekly Hours

    34.1

    Prev: 34.4▼

    SINTRO Quantitative Assessment

    Our US Model

    Factor snapshot from our US model · Close of October 14, 2026 · Not a live factor feed

    Risk · Moderate

    1.32% daily VaR

    Daily VaR sits 0.68 percentage points below the 2% risk-entry threshold; the model's risk veto engages only above 5%.

    Momentum · Intact uptrend

    +6.4% MA spread

    The 30-day average holds above the 200-day average, and the positive spread keeps the trend-following signal intact.

    Mean-Reversion · Neutral

    -1.2% from high

    Price stands 1.2% below its 200-day high - short of the 23% drawdown trigger, so no mean-reversion entry is active.

    Moderate volatility. Intact uptrend.

    At this close, our US model signals Risk On: daily VaR stays below the risk-entry threshold, momentum remains positive, and mean-reversion is neutral. The reading rests on risk and momentum, not on a reversal signal. The model switches to Treasuries once daily VaR exceeds 5%, or when VaR exceeds 2% while the 30-day average falls below the 200-day average. Headlines, sentiment proxies and illustrative economic indicators do not drive this assessment.

    This dashboard is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Data shown is illustrative. Past performance is not indicative of future results. © 2026 SINTRO GmbH